TRIGGERS

• Assassination or forcible government change with ethnic, religious
  or racial implications
  
   

• a power vacuum left by the withdrawal or stabilizing armed forces,
  collapse of a government, etc
  
   

• uneasy power transfer
  
   

• controversial treaty implementation
  
   

• maneuvering or serious negotiating phase of peace talks
  
   

• controversial/violence prone celebration, anniversary or event
  approaching
  
   

• transfer of resource from one group to another
  
   

• a  written or verbal order to destroy a group/ a call to arms

• a written or verbal encouragement to target/have vengeance on a
  minority 
  
  
   

• justice denied
  
   

• revenge or reprisal killing over personal strife between individuals
  from  different groups
  
   

• initiation of warfare
  
   

• perceived alliance with enemy during warfare
  
   

• a rapidly deteriorating military situation
  
   

• a plebiscite, independence vote or other significant democratic
  exercise with serious implications
  
   

• an act of terrorism attributed to members of the minority

• a history of massacres of minority
  
   

• a history of repression by one group over another
  
   

• a history of pogroms
  
   

• a history of vilification or dehumanization of a minority
  
   

• use of inflammatory symbols, flags or markings that conjure previous abuse
  
   

• celebration of instances of perceived or actual abuse of minority
  
   

• an attempt to redraw borders or regional or local boundaries according to
  historical claims
  
   

• no history of democracy or accountability

• troop movements surrounding unarmed
  population
  
   

• stockpiling tools of violence (such
  as assault rifles, machetes, torture artifacts)
  
  
   

• brokering of weapons
  
   

• increasing military and
  paramilitary training camps
  
   

• mass destruction of property
  
   

• forcible displacement

• targeting of civilian pop centers
  
   

• displacement
  
   

• scorched-earth (i.e. government practices such as destruction of property,
  including agricultural land, population, etc.)
  
   

• stockpiling tools of violence in conjunction with “death lists” or vilification
  of a group.
  
   

• increasing military and paramilitary training in conjunction with “death lists”
  or vilification of a group

• Remote geographic location
  
   

• lack of internet, phone or radio
  
   

• lack of press coverage
  
   

• lack of transportation to and from the area
  
   

• natural disaster
  
   

• famine